Wheat Sticking Close to Unchanged at Midday

Wheat Harvest by Heiko Janowski via Unsplash

Wheat is showing modest midday movement, with contracts mixed across the three exchanges. Chicago SRW futures are fractionally lower across the front months. Kansas City HRW contracts are fractionally in the red. Minneapolis spring wheat futures are posting fractional to 2 cent gains at midday. 

The trade is looking for the 2024/25 marketing year to round out with net reductions of 100,000 to net sales of 500,000 MT in the week ending on June 5 (just 2 days for the old MY). New crop business is at 400,000 to 600,000 MT for estimates in the weekly Export Sales report. 

A Bloomberg survey of analysts shows expected wheat production ahead of Thursday's crop progress report to be up 3 mbu to 1.924 bbu. Much of that is likely going to come from the winter wheat crop which is expected to rise nearly 8 mbu to 1.389 bbu. The HRW crop is seen up 4 mbu to  755, with SRW 2 mbu higher to 346 and the white wheat crop steady at 253. Old crop wheat stocks are expected to be up 4 mbu to 845, with the new crop total up 2 to 925 mbu. 

For the world numbers analysts are looking for old crop stocks down 0.3 MMT to 264.9 MMT. New crop is seen 0.7 MMT lower at 265 MMT on average.

Taiwan importers purchased 95,450 MT of wheat from the US overnight.

Jul 25 CBOT Wheat  is at $5.33 3/4, down 3/4 cent,

Sep 25 CBOT Wheat  is at $5.48 1/4, down 1/2 cent,

Jul 25 KCBT Wheat  is at $5.26 1/2, down 3/4 cent,

Sep 25 KCBT Wheat  is at $5.39 3/4, down 1/4 cent,

Jul 25 MGEX Wheat  is at $6.14 1/2, up 1 1/4 cents,

Sep 25 MGEX Wheat  is at $6.24 1/2, up 3/4 cent,


On the date of publication, Austin Schroeder did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.